Foxy’s Fantasy Forecast – Week 6

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Chicago Bears:

Justin Fields (QB)

Projected Points: 19.92

The Bears offense is ranked 32nd in total offense to this point in the season. If you were to take out the Cleveland game, it would look better, but still wouldn’t be great. Fields has yet to post a double digit fantasy performance through his three starts. While he is looking better week to week, he’s not a fantasy asset worth starting this week. There is a possibility that this game gets out of hand and he puts up some garbage time stats, but there are better options out there.

Verdict: Start (the Bears are doing it)

David Montgomery (RB)

Projected Points: 0

IR.

Verdict: OUT

Damien Williams (RB)

Projected Points: 0

Covid list.

Verdict: OUT

Khalil Herbert (RB)

Projected Points: 11.09

When the Bears drafted Herbert in the 6th round of this past NFL draft, I was pretty excited about what I saw. In his final year of college at Virginia Tech, he ran for 1,183 yards over 11 games averaging an insane 7.6 YPC. With Damien Williams out due to Covid, the Bears will be relying heavily on Herbert to keep the run game relevant. He looked solid last week with 18 carries for 75 yards (4.2 YPC) and will be involved as a receiver this week as he’s the only real RB in the lineup this week. God forbid anything happens to him Ryan Nall is the next man up and he’s not even worth talking about. I like Herbert as a sneaky, cheap DFS play or someone to plug your RB spot for one week if you’re dealing with Bye issues.

Verdict: Start (in the right formats)

Allen Robinson (WR)

Projected Points: 12.52

A-Rob has been arguably the most disappointing WR1 drafted in 2021. His ADP was round in the last 3rd, early 4th and he currently ranks as WR87 on the year. He’s been worse than bad. I’ve seen people discussing whether or not to drop him. Just to be clear, you should not drop a player of his caliber and talent. However, at this point, you shouldn’t start him either. He and Fields really need to work on their chemistry before you can safely trust him again. I’m not playing him in any formats until I see the connection between the two get better.

Verdict: Sit (until he and Fields get on the same page)

Darnell Mooney (WR)

Projected Points: 11.67

Mooney is the clear top target for Fields over the last three weeks. While he didn’t do much last week, he still saw five targets. After going off against the Lions, he only put up 35 yards on three catches against an okay Raider secondary. The Packers have a middle of the road secondary that can be exploited and has given up the fourth most TDs through the air so far this season. If you don’t have any other options, you can roll with Mooney hoping he’ll put up a long TD.

Verdict: Start (they’re likely going to be throwing in this game and Mooney is Fields fav target)

Cole Kmet (TE)

Projected Points: 6.50

Last week was another stinker for Kmet in the passing game. He’s being used more as a second OT to help protect Fields than he is as a receiver. He had four targets last week pulling in 2 catches for 22 yards. It’s really a mystery at this point why the Bears spent a 2nd round pick on this guy as they haven’t used him at all.

Verdict: Sit (for the foreseeable future)

Green Bay Packers

Aaron Rodgers (QB)

Projected Points: 22.83

In what may be Rodgers final game at Soldier Field, you’d have to think he wants to cap off his years of Bears abuse on a high note. Rodgers is coming off four straight weeks of 21+ points where he’s thrown at least 2 TDs in each of those games. He’s as good as any QB in the league and loves to torch the Bears. If the Bears can get consistent pressure on him, he may have a tough day, but he always seems to rise above at Soldier Field.

Verdict: Start (like every Sunday)

Aaron Jones (RB)

Projected Points: 19.45

Jones is one of the most efficient RBs in the NFL when it comes to maximizing his touches. He’s coming off his first 100-yard game of the season against the Bengals and always looks great with the ball in his hands. Though the Bears have been stout against the run, Jones has always shown he can make plays when catching the ball out of the backfield. If you’re in a PPR league, you’ve got to love his consistent target and catch numbers. That’s where he’ll do his damage this week against the Bears.

Verdict: Start (like every Sunday)

AJ Dillon (RB)

Projected Points: 5.60

Dillon is an absolute monster. He’s got such intimidating size and frame, I can only imagine how difficult it is to try and bring this guy down. He’s the short yardage back for the Pack and is a boom or bust, TD dependent RB every week. If the Pack gets up big early, I’d expect to see him get a nice workload. If not, he’ll ride the pines while Aaron Jones get his usual workload. While his potential and talent are exciting, Jones is just a better RB.

Verdict: Sit (until next year or if Jones ever goes down)

Davante Adams (WR)

Projected Points: 23.24

Adams is arguably the best WR in the entire league at this point. He put an exclamation point on that claim last week with an insane 11 catches on 16 targets for 206 yards and a TD against the Bengals. OT helped those numbers, but you know he can do that in regulation if him and Rodgers get cooking on any given week. Rodgers loves him in the red zone, at midfield, double covered, it really don’t matter. He’s a beast.

Verdict: Start (like every Sunday)

Randall Cobb (WR)

Projected Points: 6.39

Cobb has been relatively silent in his return to Green Bay as Aaron Rodgers handpicked FA WR of choice, aside from a monster week 4 performance against the Steelers. With MVS on IR and Lazard as more of a decoy WR, he’s a slot guy who could do damage against a weak nickel corner. Outside of that Week 4 exploding, Cobb hasn’t seen more than three targets in any other game this season. That said, I’m not confident he’ll be a major piece of the puzzle this week as he hasn’t been up to this point. While he has burned the Bears in the past, I’m not bullish on him doing anything special this week.

Verdict: Sit (just not worth the start with his low target volume)

Robert Tonyan (TE)

Projected Points: 8.28

Tonyan is another guy that has had a super disappointing season up to this point. He finished last season as the TE3, but it was mostly TD dependent. With only one TD catch on the season, he has not lived up to the hope many fantasy owners have had for a repeat of last year. Outside of seven targets in Week 4 against the Steelers, he hasn’t seen more than four targets in any other game this season. I’m fading Tonyan everywhere until he starts to see some positive TD regression again. Feel free to drop him if you’d like as there are better TE options available.

Verdict: Sit (he’s TD dependent and I’m not depending on that)

Other Notes:

While the Bears lead the league in sacks, Rodgers always seems to find his way out of those tough spots. On the other side, you could start the GB D if you don’t think Fields takes another step forward. If I had to pick one, I’m going with Green Bay, but I don’t love either of these defenses.

Good luck to all you fantasy football players in Week 6. Check back next week for another fantasy forecast against Tom-pa Bay. That one (unfortunately) will likely be ugly for the Bears.

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