Foxy’s Fantasy Forecast – Week 15
Justin Fields (QB)
Projected Points: 20.17
Coming home after a pretty decent fantasy performance against the Packers, Justin Fields will look to string a second strong start together against a Vikings secondary that has been beat up all season long. With Minnesota giving up the 3rd most fantasy points to opposing QBs up to this point in the season, I love Fields as a DFS start. Only question will be how well Nagy sets him up with his play calling in this one.
Verdict: Start (love him against the Vikings in this one)
David Montgomery (RB)
Projected Points: 15.72
Since returning from injury a few weeks back, Montgomery has returned to his bellcow role as the Bears RB1. He’s looked solid for the most part, but has been held back by play calling on a few occasions (story of the season, am I right?). The Vikings defense has been almost as bad against the run as they have against the pass allowing the 11th most points to RBs. If the Bears give him the 17+ carries they should be on a regular basis with a few targets sprinkled in there, he should have a nice night in prime time.
Verdict: Start (only thing holding him back is how many carries he gets)
Allen Robinson (WR)
Projected Points: OUT
Robinson will sit again this week due to Covid. He’s all but done in Chicago. Sadly.
Darnell Mooney (WR)
Projected Points: 11.78
One catch for 19 yards in Lambeau last week. Wow. How does that even happen? Both Jakim Grant and Damiere Byrd ended up catching TDs while the Bears played the entire night from behind last week. Still, only five targets turning into such a poor performance for the Bears #1 is very discouraging. That said, the Vikings are allowing the most points to the WR position through the season. You gotta start him in this spot.
Verdict: Start (too good of a matchup to pass up on)
Cole Kmet (TE)
Projected Points: 7.72
Three catches for 17 yards last week made for another dud for the hometown kid. Kmet had five targets, but again it’s anyone’s guess what the offensive staff for the Bears is doing with their TE of the future. The TE position is basically the only position the Vikings has done a good job of stopping this season. That said, no thanks. There are better TE options out there.
Verdict: Sit (until further notice)
Kirk Cousins (QB)
Projected Points: 21.95
Cousins is having, arguably, his best season of his professional career. With nearly 3,600 yards and 27 TDs to just 5 INTs, he’s been very serviceable from both a real life football and fantasy perspective. However, Cousins has historically been bad in prime time. On the other hand, he plays well away from Minnesota. We’ll see which Cousins we get tonight, but I like the matchup for him with the Bears secondary ruined due to Covid and injuries.
Verdict: Start (great matchup)
Dalvin Cook (RB)
Projected Points: 21.57
After exploding last week for 200+ yards and 2 TDs, Dalvin Cook will be carrying the load in prime time as Alex Mattison will be out. When healthy, Dalvin has looked nearly unstoppable and the Bears D is middle of the road against RBs this year. With the added rest after playing last Thursday, he should be rested and ready to roll tonight. He’s one of the top RBs in the entire NFL, so there should be no question about starting him.
Verdict: Start (he’s a no doubt starter when healthy)
Justin Jefferson (WR)
Projected Points: 19.19
Justin Jefferson continues to look like one of the top 5-10 WRs in the entire league week in and week out. He’s coming off of another big performance last week where the Vikings were without his fellow WR Adam Thielen. With or without Thielen, Jefferson has shown he can put up big numbers. Now the Bears are missing Jaylon Johnson (the only NFL CB on the defense) as well as pretty much every other corner they had. It should be a field day for Jefferson in prime time. Fire him up with complete confidence.
Verdict: Start (he’s a bonafide fantasy WR1)
Adam Thielen (WR)
Projected Points: 13.26
It’s still up in the air whether or not Thielen will suit up for this game after suffering a high ankle sprain two weeks ago. If he goes, he should be in your lineup as he has owned the Bears secondary in the past. He had three TDs against this Bears D last year. Pay attention to those updates as kickoff approaches. If he’s in the lineup for the Vikings, he should be in your lineup as well.
Verdict: Start (depending on health of course)
Tyler Conklin (TE)
Projected Points: 9.2
Conklin has been a pretty decent spot starter at TE throughout the season. He’s had some really solid performances mixed in with a few duds. While the Bears have played the TE position well so far this season, this may be a good spot for Conklin. With the injuries to the Bears secondary, he may be in line for some targets. He’s also been particularly effective in the red zone making him a TD away from a good week, every week.
Verdict: Start (secondary injuries could lead to a solid start)
Neither of these defenses are healthy or playing well. I don’t want any part of either of them in fantasy this week. There are better options out there.
Good luck to all you fantasy football players in Week 15 and congrats to those that made their league’s playoffs. Next week the Bears head to Seattle for a matchup with the surprisingly poor Seahawks. Should be a great spot for you David Montgomery owners.