Foxy’s Fantasy Forecast
Justin Fields (QB)
Projected Points: 19.41
After an impressive performance in Week 9 against the Steelers, Fields will get another crack at the AFC North with the Ravens. The Ravens D has had a few great performances coupled with a few really poor performances so far this season. Baltimore’s D isn’t quite as good as Pittsburgh’s, so Fields should have a ton of confidence coming in off of a bye week. The Ravens have allowed the 9th most points to the QB position so far this season, so I’m optimistic Fields can have a solid outing this week as the Bears will likely need to throw a lot to keep up in this game.
Verdict: Start (ride the hot hands)
David Montgomery (RB)
Projected Points: 14.12
Monty looked solid in his return on Monday night against the Steelers. He finished with 13 carries for 63 yards on the ground with a couple catches as well. While it was a lighter workload than we typically see Montgomery get, it was encouraging to see his burst through holes when they were there. With the extra week of rest, I’d expect Montgomery to be back at 16+ carries this week against a middle of the road run D in the Ravens. Monty is back.
Verdict: Start (with cautious confidence)
Damien Williams (RB)
Projected Points: 2.67
With a limited practice on Wednesday due to a knee issue, Williams likely won’t get much play this week. Khalil Herbert outplayed Williams when he got his chance and has firmly taken hold of the RB2 spot. Williams is an insurance back at the moment.
Verdict: Sit (he’s the RB3)
Khalil Herbert (RB)
Projected Points: 3.92
There were some questions heading into Week 9 about what kind of workload we would see Herbert get after Montgomery returned. We got our answer – four carries. Though he played admirably and had success in Monty’s absence, it was clear that the Bears were eager to get their workhorse involved in the game plan right away. Herbert will be relegated to around 4-7 touches per game moving forward. If you’re a Montgomery owner, consider Herbert his handcuff at this point.
Verdict: Sit (Monty owns the RB touches)
Allen Robinson (WR)
Projected Points: 11.81
A-Rob had his best game of the season Week 9 against the Steelers (4 catches on 6 targets for 86 yards). It was only the second time this season Robinson eclipsed the 10 point mark in PPR fantasy formats. The Ravens D has given up the 8th fewest points to the WR position so far this season, so it’s not a great matchup. I will say though, if you play DFS like I do, Robinson’s price is so low that he could be worth a dart throw knowing the Bears will likely be playing catch up with the Ravens and passing a lot.
Verdict: Sit (unless you want the DFS dart throw)
Darnell Mooney (WR)
Projected Points: 11.94
Mooney got into the endzone twice last week on the ground and through the air. Like Robinson, Mooney produced his best fantasy output of the season and topped 20 points for the first time this year. As I mentioned with Robinson, this is a tough matchup for the WRs. On top of that, I think most NFL DCs view Mooney as the WR1 on the Bears, so the focus of their coverage will be on Mooney. Someone will have to catch passes for the Bears though.
Verdict: Start (reluctantly, unless you have a better option)
Cole Kmet (TE)
Projected Points: 8.49
It’s nice to see the Bears offense finally utilize Kmet in the TE position like we were hoping they would when he was drafted. After pulling down six of eight targets for 87 yards against the Steelers in Week 9, Kmet gets a better matchup against the Ravens. The Ravens D has been very kind to TEs this season allowing the 3rd most points to the position. I like Kmet as a streaming start this week after his last performance.
Verdict: Start (DFS and streaming TE)
Lamar Jackson (QB)
Projected Points: 25.22
Up until last week, many had Lamar as their favorite for MVP. After putting up a total dud against a poor Miami Dolphins team on Thursday Night Football, Lamar and the Ravens will be looking to get back to winning. The Bears are allowing the 13th most points to the QB position so far this season but have not faced a true dual threat QB like Lamar yet. His rushing upside is an unquestionable advantage in fantasy and his passing has only improved this season. Lamar is a locked starter on your roster.
Verdict: Start (like every week)
Davonta Freeman (RB)
Projected Points: 10.09
Freeman has stepped up as a serviceable option in fantasy the past few weeks. He’s averaging 12.26 fantasy points/game over the past four weeks. With Le’veon Bell no longer on the roster and the coaching staff refusing to use Ty’son Williams, it looks like Freeman has taken over the RB1 role. The Bears D has played well against the run this season allowing the 10th fewest points to the RB position. If you need a streamer due to a bye or an injury, you could do worse than Freeman.
Verdict: Start (but only if you have to)
Marquise Brown (WR)
Projected Points: 13.95
Hollywood has finally lived up to his nickname this season. Marquise Brown is the WR6 so far on the season. He and Lamar Jackson have finally gotten on the same page. They are on pace for their best season as a duo by far. Brown has missed a couple of practices this week with a thigh issue which could hinder his speed game. If he plays, he’s a must start as the Bears are allowing the 5th most points to the WR position.
Verdict: Start (but, be alert on his status as he may not play)
Rashod Bateman (WR)
Projected Points: 14.21
Since making his season debut Week 6, Bateman has gotten 6+ targets in each of his first four NFL games. He’s had a couple of 80 yard performances, but has yet to get into the end zone. If Brown doesn’t play this week, I love Bateman in this matchup as he’s a big target at 6’2”, 210lbs. Even if Brown plays, Bateman has quickly become a fixture in the passing game. I like him as a low-cost DFS option or roster fill-in this week.
Verdict: Start (unless you have a better option)
Mark Andrews (TE)
Projected Points: 14.19
Andrews has been one of the most consistent TEs in the league this season. He’s averaging over 7 targets/game through nine weeks, so he’s heavily involved in their passing game. With the Bears allowing the 5th fewest points to TEs so far this season, it’ll be a tougher matchup for Andrews, but he’s one of the Tier 1 TEs in the league. If he’s on your roster, he’s as close to an auto start as you can get.
Verdict: Start (he’s a T1 TE)
Baltimore is not a bad start on D this week. With what the Bears offense has looked like up to this point in the season, it seems like a safe start. However, if Fields continues to progress (please God), that may not be the case much longer. As far as the Bears D is concerned, count me out. Lamar and his offense is just too good.
Good luck to all you fantasy football players in Week 11. We’ll take a look at the Bears second matchup with the Lions next week. I’m feeling a true Justin Fields breakout coming.